|
BUSINESS
India
must increase revenue to contain fiscal deficit
DEBAJIT
MAHANTA
A stimulus package is an attempt by the government to boost the economic
growth. The fiscal and monetary are the two main ways for
stimulating the economy.
So far not a single Indian bank or financial institutions
have failed and all of them well regulated by the RBI. Rather than come out
with a new stimulus plan government should decide
on the rollback of stimulus once the economy returns to the path to
recovery.
The three stimulus packages implemented between December 2008 and February
2009 to revive the economy has already created fiscal deficits. The
government had cut taxes and hiked expenditure to stimulate the economy
following the global financial
crisis. The fiscal deficit is the difference between the
government’s total expenditure and its total receipts (excluding
borrowing).
There are two ways government can reduced fiscal deficit, by raising
revenues or by reducing expenditure. However keeping in view of the present
economic situation the government has not increased revenues. Government
expenditure in sectors such as agriculture, education, health and poverty
alleviation has been reduced leading to greater hardship for the poor. So,
more economic stimulate packages mean increase the fiscal deficit when the
economy going through a recession and more importantly the government has not
been able to play any role in boosting demand. Government should have ruled out any further special packages to
stimulate the economy and should have adopted exit strategy because now the
time ripe to end the stimulus.
Will the Indian economy be able to manage if stimulus measures are
withdrawn to bring down the current level of fiscal and revenues deficits?
Before withdraw government needs to focus on rural agricultural policies
which can infuse faster economic growth, investment in infrastructure and maintain
an appropriate fiscal and monetary policy. Both
Government and Reserve Bank of India should working in
close cooperation with each other to evolve the appropriate fiscal and
monetary policy. Even the global leaders should address the problems faced
by the international community due to economic meltdown in the platform
like G-20 so that the multilateral negotiations on trade can be
successfully concluded.
Markets have begun looking up this quarter and the growth forecast also
returned to positive. Some economists pointed should continue another 4-6
months in stead of withdrawing stimulus packages. The turbulent period of
the Indian economy is going on right now and initiating any negative step
can derail the whole process of recovery. India’s Planning Commission
Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia told that Indian economy, which is
grow at its slowest pace in six years in the fiscal year ending March,
needs stimulus to sustain growth.
India
is becoming a global innovator for high-tech products and
services. As per the World Bank report two per cent of India’s population, 20 million people,
staying abroad earn the equivalent of two-third of India’s GDP. Indian Government
should seek policies that stimulate the employment market mostly revolve
around measures being implemented at the national and international level
to tackle problem of job losses arising out of recession.
The crisis is forcing India
around the world to test the limits of fiscal and monetary policies. To
navigating these uncertain times a sound and resilient banking sector,
well-functioning financial markets and robust liquidity management are the
pre-requisites for financial stability. The banking system in India
is sound, adequately capitalized, well regulated and capable of withstanding
the global shock without any further stimulus packages.
(devajitmahanta@gmail.com)
|
No comments:
Post a Comment